全球变化湖沼学:面向湖泊过程及其耦合关系的研究框架
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中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所湖泊与流域水安全全国重点实验室

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国家自然科学基金联合基金重点支持项目(U25A20753)和面上项目(42371016)


Global Change Limnology: A research framework oriented toward lake processes and their coupling
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Key Laboratory of Lake and Watershed Science for Water Security,Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology,Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    在自然与人类引起的全球变化背景下,多重驱动增强引发了诸多生态系统发生非线性变化;湖泊生态系统的相关研究目前也正在经历由“单一过程变化”向“多过程耦合关系系统性改变”转变。全球变化影响在湖泊中往往通过改变生境和调节内部过程的方式在湖泊生态系统中传导,表现为湖泊中多过程及其耦合关系的重组,然后进一步影响系统结构与功能等。传统湖沼学在百余年发展中形成了物理、化学与生物等分支学科并积累了丰富认识;随着当前全球性问题挑战的出现,从综合回答湖泊生态系统如何响应全球变化的视角,本文明晰并界定“全球变化湖沼学”,强调以“外界驱动—多过程及其耦合变化—功能改变与反馈”为主线,聚焦湖泊内部关键物理—化学—生物过程及其耦合关系在非平稳胁迫下的变化规律,以及对生态系统功能和环境效应的影响与反馈。围绕“湖泊不同过程之间耦合关系对多重驱动响应的内在联系、机制和可预测性”的核心科学问题,构建“驱动—过程—功能—反馈”研究框架,从以物种与状态为中心转向以过程协同变化为核心的研究思路,并提出多源观测、控制实验、模型解译与理论分析协同推进的路径。当前全球变化湖沼学亟需发展不依赖状态(如具体物种组成、营养盐浓度等)、兼具过程指示性与跨湖泊可比性的指标体系,并突破多尺度融合瓶颈,以推动经验认识向可推广的理论框架与风险治理工具升华。

    Abstract:

    Under the natural and human-induced global change, the intensification of multiple drivers has triggered nonlinear changes in many ecosystems. Research on aquatic systems is also undergoing a transition from “changes in single processes” to “systematic changes in multi-process coupling relationships”. The impacts of global change are often transmitted within lake ecosystems by altering habitats and regulating internal processes, manifested as the reorganization of multiple processes and their coupling relationships in lakes, which further affects system structure and function. Over more than a century of development, traditional limnology has formed subdisciplines such as physical, chemical, and biological limnology. In response to emerging global challenges, this study proposes and defines “global change limnology” as a framework for comprehensively understanding how lake ecosystems respond to global change. It follows the conceptual sequence of “external drivers—changes in multiple processes and their coupling—functional changes and feedbacks”, focusing on how key physical, chemical, and biological processes within lakes and their coupling change under non-stationary stress, and how these changes affect ecosystem functioning and environmental outcomes and generate feedbacks. Centered on the core scientific questions of “how do multiple drivers reshape the coupling among lake processes, what mechanisms underlie these changes, and how can this mechanistic understanding improve our ability to predict lake ecosystem responses”, our study constructs a “driver–process–function–feedback” research framework. It shifts the research perspective from a focus on species and states to one centered on the coordinated changes of processes, and proposes a pathway that integrates multi-source observation, controlled experiments, mechanistic inference through modeling and theoretical analysis. At present, global change limnology urgently needs to develop an indicator system that is not dependent on states, such as specific species composition or nutrient concentrations, but that has both process-indicative capacity and cross-lake comparability. It also needs to overcome the bottleneck of multi-scale integration, so as to promote the elevation of empirical understanding into generalizable theoretical frameworks and risk-governance tools.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-26
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-31
  • 录用日期:2026-08-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-16
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