热分层—低氧驱动水库鱼群生境压缩与空间聚集格局变化 ——以牛头山水库为例
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上海海洋大学

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2024—2025年牛头山水库生态调查及保水渔业研究项目


Thermal stratification–hypoxia drives fish habitat compression and changes in spatial aggregation patterns in reservoirs: A case study of Niutoushan Reservoir
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Shanghai Ocean University

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This study was supported by the 2024–2025 Ecological Survey and Water-Conservation Fishery Research Project in Niutoushan Reservoir

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    摘要:

    为了解牛头山水库季节性热分层诱发的深水低氧如何影响鱼群在垂向与水平两个空间维度上的分布格局,本研究于2025年开展水声学航测与刺网试捕,并结合水温/溶氧剖面监测,分析鱼群垂向生境压缩和空间聚集格局变化。针对传统相关分析难以区分鱼群垂向上移是否源于低氧回避的问题,本文构建零模型(null model),检验鱼群对低氧水层的占用是否低于随机期望;同时将水平鱼群聚集热点转化为站点尺度的聚集强度指标,通过多元线性回归模型(LM)分析其对水深结构和低氧程度的响应。结果表明,在垂向分布上,四个月份鱼群垂向分配结构存在显著差异(PERMANOVA,p=0.001,R²=0.277);分层期(5月、10月)鱼群分布垂向质心(Zc)显著变浅且离散度降低(中位数7.54 m;混合期12.19 m;ΔZc=-4.65 m),零模型分析表明,在3 mg/L低氧阈值下,鱼群对深水低氧层的利用总体低于随机期望。在水平分布上,鱼群聚集热点在多个月份出现在河库过渡带(S3站点);多元线性回归模型显示鱼群聚集强度与水深呈倒U型(最优水深 D?≈14.4 m),且在控制水深结构与季节差异后,低氧胁迫亏缺量(DOdef )与鱼群聚集强度呈负向关系(β=-1.151±0.444,p=0.022)。本研究建立的零模型检验与聚集强度量化框架,为识别鱼群低氧回避及空间聚集响应提供了方向性证据,可为类似中深水山谷河道型水库分层期鱼类栖息地监测及低氧风险识别提供依据。

    Abstract:

    To investigate how deep-water hypoxia induced by seasonal thermal stratification affects fish distribution patterns in both vertical and horizontal dimensions, hydroacoustic surveys and gillnet sampling were conducted in Niutoushan Reservoir in 2025, combined with vertical profiles of water temperature and dissolved oxygen. The compression of vertical fish habitat and changes in spatial aggregation patterns were analyzed. To address the difficulty of distinguishing whether the upward shift of fish distribution resulted from hypoxia avoidance using conventional correlation analyses, null models were constructed to test whether fish utilization of hypoxic layers was lower than random expectations. Meanwhile, horizontal fish aggregation hotspots were transformed into station-scale aggregation intensity metrics, and multiple linear regression models (LMs) were used to examine their relationships with water-depth structure and hypoxia intensity.The results showed that vertical fish allocation patterns differed significantly among the four survey months (PERMANOVA, p = 0.001, R² = 0.277). During the stratified period (May and October), the vertical centroid depth (Zc) of fish distribution became significantly shallower and less dispersed (median: 7.54 m), compared with the mixed period (12.19 m), corresponding to an upward shift of 4.65 m (ΔZc = ?4.65 m). Null-model analyses indicated that fish utilization of deep hypoxic layers was generally lower than random expectations under the 3 mg/L dissolved oxygen threshold. Horizontally, fish aggregation hotspots repeatedly occurred in the river–reservoir transition zone (site S3) across multiple months. The LM results revealed an inverted U-shaped relationship between fish aggregation intensity and water depth, with an estimated optimal depth (D*) of approximately 14.4 m. After accounting for water-depth structure and seasonal differences, oxygen-stress deficit (DOdef) showed a negative association with fish aggregation intensity (β = ?1.151 ± 0.444, p = 0.022).This study establishes an analytical framework integrating null-model testing and aggregation-intensity quantification, providing directional evidence for identifying fish hypoxia avoidance and spatial aggregation responses. The framework may support habitat monitoring and hypoxia-risk assessment for fish communities in similar medium- to deep-water valley-type reservoirs during stratified periods.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-04-27
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-27
  • 录用日期:2026-07-31
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-04
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