| 摘要: |
| 运用基于湖泊热量收支与湍流扩散的湖泊热力学模型模拟了青海湖近30年来湖水热力状况，内容包括湖泊水面温度；温度沿深度的垂直分布；冬季结冰与融冰的起迄时间，冰盖厚度；积雪深度与天数等．在此基础上，运用4个GCMs模型输出的CO2倍增情景下该地区的气候状况，评价了湖泊热力状况在未来的可能变化情况。 |
| 关键词: 青海湖 热力模拟 未来情景 GCMs |
| DOI：10.18307/1998.0305 |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金（49201005）和中国科学院留学回国基金资助项目 |
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| The Simulation of Thermal Properties of Qinghai Lake and the Potential Change in the Future |
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Qin Boqiang, Huang Qun
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Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences Nanjing 210008
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| Abstract: |
| Based on the lake energy budget and fake eddy diffusion equation * the lake thermal model was constructed and used in the simulation of thermal properties of Qinghai Lake, the largest saline and deep lake in China,The simulated items include the water surface temperature? tem perature profile, ice formation and thaw procedure? snow aging process etc. With the aid of the four-GCMs output about the climate condition of doubling C02 in this area,the potential change degree of the water thermal properties has been evaluated and discussed. |
| Key words: Qinghai Lake thermal simulation model future condition GCMS |
